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South Asia Economic Focus Report

  • Posted By
  • Categories
    World Affairs
  • Published
    15th Oct, 2020
  • Released by:Title of the edition: “Beaten or Broken? Informality and Covid-19”.
  • The report includes Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
  • It predicts that the extended closure of schools amid the Covid-19 pandemic could reduce India’s future earnings by between 420 billion USD and 600 billion USD.
  • This is so because depleted learning levels of students will translate into poorer productivity.
  • Impact on Education: Around 5.5 million students could drop out of schools across South Asia.
  • 391 million students have been kept out of school in primary and secondary education due to lockdown.
  • Dropouts and learning losses would cost South Asia as much as 622 billion USD in future earnings and GDP.
  • Also, due to the closure of schools, the children may have forgotten their previous learnings.
  • The average child in South Asia may lose 4,400 USD in lifetime earnings once having entered the labour market, equivalent to 5% of total earnings.
  • Impacts on Economy&Impact on Informal Sector: The report has flagged damage to businesses, consumption patterns and imposed social hardship on poor and vulnerable households, especially urban migrants and informal workers in the South Asia region.
  • GDP: The regional GDP of the South Asia region is estimated to contract by 7.7% in 2020. India’s GDP can contract by 9.6% in 2020-21.
  • Labour productivity will also take a greater hit from Covid-19 than most previous natural disasters.

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